Half of Latinos say their situation in the U.S. has worsened over the past year, up from 32% in the weeks after Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election and the highest level since the Great Recession. In addition, more say they have serious concerns about their place in American […] Read more »
USA Today/Suffolk Poll: There is a ‘Kavanaugh effect,’ and it boosts Democrats more than the GOP in midterms
Brett Kavanaugh now sits on the Supreme Court, but the contentious battle over his nomination continues to reverberate in the run-up to next month’s midterm elections. A new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds that more than six in 10 likely voters say Kavanaugh’s confirmation after facing allegations of sexual assault […] Read more »
The Coming Clashes Between Democrats and Republicans
Win or lose, the Democratic Party has crossed a threshold in the 2018 election, pointing it toward even more explosive conflict with a Republican Party that Donald Trump is recasting around white racial anxiety. For the first time, white men do not constitute a majority of Democratic candidates in races […] Read more »
A dozen days to go: Ratings changes in gubernatorial, House races
The battles for the state governorships are getting more volatile as Election Day nears. We are moving three races, Kansas, Oregon, and South Dakota, to Toss-up. Republican odds of holding the Senate are as good as ever. The playing field continues to expand in the House. CONT. Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s […] Read more »
People Are Changing Their Views On Race And Gender Issues To Match Their Party
… A huge body of research has shown that voters were more divided by race and gender views in the 2016 election than they were in previous elections. But it turns out that rather than voters supporting the party that best represents their views about race and gender, the effect […] Read more »
What I learned from The New York Times
When The New York Times’s Upshot announced it was “live polling” this year’s hottest races, I wasn’t a fan. But my worst fears weren’t realized and I learned some things watching the interviews roll in. CONT. Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill Read more »