With the 2022 congressional election concluding Tuesday on Election Day, the Economist/YouGov poll is publishing its final numbers for the generic congressional ballot: 49% of likely voters — including people who are undecided but lean for either the Democratic or the Republican Party candidates — say they will vote for […] Read more »
How a GOP Congress Could Roll Back Freedoms Nationwide
If Republicans win control of one or both congressional chambers this week, they will likely begin a project that could reshape the nation’s political and legal landscape: imposing on blue states the rollback of civil rights and liberties that has rapidly advanced through red states since 2021. Over the past […] Read more »
Who Will Win the Battle for Congress? Four Scenarios.
Just about anything is still possible in this year’s midterm elections. Everything from a Democratic hold in the Senate and a fairly close race for the House to something like a Republican rout is well within the range of realistic possibilities on Tuesday. Why such a wide range? With so […] Read more »
November 2022 Debrief: NBC News Poll
16 slides that show why tomorrow is very likely to be a great night for Republicans up and down the ballot. CONTINUED Public Opinion Strategies The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Final Ratings for the 2022 Election
Key Points• Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat.• Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats.• Our projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 governorship. CONTINUED Larry J. […] Read more »
My predictions for the 2022 midterm elections
American politics has been a stalemate between the two parties for nearly 30 years. Every time it looks as though one party gains a lasting upper hand — Democrats after 2008 and 2020, Republicans after 1994 and 2010 — its legislative overreach sends it back to parity. Tuesday’s midterm elections […] Read more »