President Trump’s insistence that he’s been exonerated by special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election began hours after the release of Attorney General William P. Barr’s letter outlining what Mueller found. … The Post and our polling partners at the Schar School of […] Read more »
How the Trump Era Is Molding the Next Generation of Voters
… Political science research shows that a generation of voters is shaped for life by what happens during the teenage years and early 20s: whether the country is at war, how the economy is doing, whether the president is popular. Evidence in the Trump era so far shows young people […] Read more »
Democrats have room to grow as voters rank 2020 candidates
Before citizens can actually vote for a presidential candidate, they first have to be comfortable with him or her and this week’s NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll offers some clues about where voters stand on the growing (and growing) 2020 field. The poll shows some serious challenges for President Donald […] Read more »
Mueller Report a 2020 Turning Point
Sunday afternoon’s release of Attorney General William Barr’s summary of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s report marks a critical point in the 2020 presidential campaign. Democrats and other critics of President Trump had convinced themselves that Mueller would report a conspiracy between the Trump campaign and Russian intelligence operatives and/or that […] Read more »
What makes Wisconsin swing?
… For the past seven years, our Communication and Civic Renewal research group has been studying contentious politics in Wisconsin. We are particularly interested in how the state’s communication ecology interacts with political, economic and social contexts to affect how people engage in politics. The graphs below show that people’s […] Read more »
Subgroup Differences in Trump Approval Mostly Party-Based
It is well-established that President Donald Trump’s ratings are the most politically polarized Gallup has measured for a president. Trump’s support also has shown consistent differences by gender and by race and education, among other characteristics. What has been less clear is whether those subgroup differences mainly reflect the party […] Read more »