Dana Fattouh, 18, likes almost everything about the Democratic Party. … But Fattouh refuses to call herself a Democrat. And though most of her policy preferences align with the party’s liberal wing, she won’t commit to vote blue in 2020. Rather, she says she’ll research her options and decide who […] Read more »
Has a tipping point been reached on support for gun control?
FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver analyzes whether public opinion and Washington’s political will have shifted on gun control after repeated mass shootings. ABC News Recent polls: Guns Read more »
Farmers back Trump’s tariff fight, but don’t think it helps them
As the Trump administration’s trade fight with China deepens, the impacts are starting to pile up — particularly in the nation’s farming communities where tariffs targeting agricultural products are hitting hard. And with 2020 approaching, the ongoing dispute could have serious electoral implications. Polls show a mix of presidential support […] Read more »
On Guns, Public Opinion and Public Policy Often Diverge
Polls show that public support for tighter guns laws is rising. Alone, that doesn’t mean Congress is going to expand gun control anytime soon. Public opinion and public policy on guns have seemed to be at odds for decades. Measures like universal background checks often attract the support of more […] Read more »
Is demography destiny in Texas?
President Trump’s less than enthusiastic reception in El Paso, Texas, along with the announcements by four Texas Republican congressmen that they will not be running for re-election, has drawn attention to the changing demography of that state. Back in the 19th century a French sociologist first said “Demography is destiny.” […] Read more »
Blue Texas is a Democratic dream. Shifting left is a reality.
For three years now, Texas Republicans have been taking on water. … Now Democrats are crossing their fingers about finally turning Texas blue, or at least purple, in 2020. Turning Texas blue in the medium-term isn’t a pipe dream — the Trump-era GOP doesn’t play as well as the George […] Read more »