President Trump is building his reelection campaign around the same brand of nativism that energized tens of millions of aggrieved whites and got him elected in 2016. Because of the verities of the electoral college, there is a body of evidence that suggests doubling down on an agenda of exclusion […] Read more »
Trump’s base is very different than the swing voters he’ll need in 2020
President Donald Trump’s chief problem heading into the 2020 campaign can be boiled down to “like him on the economy, but not overall.” Aggregating our last three CNN polls, Trump has a 44% approval rating and 52% disapproval rating among voters. On the economy, it’s been the inverse: 53% approval […] Read more »
Women of color present potent threat to Trump’s reelection
… Women of color, especially black women, are potent forces in progressive politics, both in office and as organizers who mobilize voters. It seems that conservatives understand this better than liberals. That’s why it’s important to note that the outcome of the 2020 election will likely depend upon the efforts […] Read more »
Texas’ biggest metro areas may tip America’s balance of power in the years ahead
The fast-growing metropolitan areas of Texas are moving to the front line of the battle between the two major political parties for control of the nation’s direction. Texas has been a linchpin of the Republican Party’s national strength for a generation. But in 2018, Democrats recorded their most significant gains […] Read more »
‘Everything that we hold dear’: From race to plastic straws, Trump dials up culture wars in divisive play for 2020 votes
George W. Bush had “freedom fries,” Sarah Palin had the “Big Gulp” and Dan Quayle had the Hollywood portrayal of an unwed single mother named Murphy Brown. For President Trump, it’s paper straws — the latest addition to an ever-growing list of cultural flash points his campaign is seeking to […] Read more »
Why Democrats are stuck competing in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin
… Recent electoral history and demographics suggest that, despite the quick leftward movement of well-educated suburbs across the country, Democrats probably still have to worry about Wisconsin, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and other currently purple states in 2020. CONT. David Byler, Washington Post Read more »