Before Republicans will send their organizers into early primary states, the organizers reportedly must read and pass a test on “Groundbreakers,” the story of how Barack Obama revolutionized campaigning by putting his faith in hundreds of thousands of volunteers. I was a top organizer in his 2008 campaign and trained […] Read more »
Texas-Sized Opportunities, Part 2
… In Part 2 of our Texas series we look at recent polling data to better understand Senator Cornyn’s viability both in the primary and in the general—assuming he survives a primary challenge, that is. We look specifically at his political weaknesses and at the internal challenges he faces within […] Read more »
Voters predict Trump’s re-election, but less than a third would be happy
Most Republicans are supportive of President Donald Trump’s influence on the party and the GOP’s move toward populism, and they are happily optimistic that he will win re-election in 2020, according to the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times national poll. And while the vast majority of Democrat-affiliated voters would be […] Read more »
Favorability of Major Political Figures and Organizations in Battleground Districts
Pundits have asserted that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s progressive agenda threatens the Democratic Party’s chances of making broad gains in the 2020 election and beyond. Unsourced polling leaked to Axios suggested that white, likely voters without college degrees view Ocasio-Cortez overwhelmingly unfavorably—a population Axios deemed crucial to the Democrats’ future as […] Read more »
Abolishing the Filibuster Is Unavoidable for Democrats
Even if Democrats regain unified control of the White House and Congress in 2020, the fate of their ambitious legislative agenda will still likely hinge on a fundamental question: Do they try to end the Senate filibuster? If the party chooses to keep the filibuster, it faces a daunting prospect: […] Read more »
The Big Six Swing States in 2020
There are six states that will be key to winning the 2020 presidential election if it is at all close. Whoever wins most of them will in all likelihood win the presidency. The six are Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Donald Trump won Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and […] Read more »