Kevin McCarthy’s problem: historically unpopular with a historically small majority

House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy is hoping all’s well that ends well when it comes to becoming speaker of the chamber. The current minority leader and former majority leader may have thought he’d have the speakership locked up by now, but, ahead of the new Congress that begins on Tuesday, […] Read more »

The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative

… Traditional nonpartisan pollsters, after years of trial and error and tweaking of their methodologies, produced polls that largely reflected reality. But they also conducted fewer polls than in the past. That paucity allowed their accurate findings to be overwhelmed by an onrush of partisan polls in key states that […] Read more »

Black support for GOP ticked up in this year’s midterms

Black voters have been a steady foundation for Democratic candidates for decades, but that support appeared to show a few cracks in this year’s elections. Republican candidates were backed by 14% of Black voters, compared with 8% in the last midterm elections four years ago, according to AP VoteCast, an […] Read more »

Since 2018, Republicans have lost confidence in U.S. institutions

In June and July 2018, we launched a U.S. survey that asked 5,400 Americans how much confidence they had in a series of national institutions, called the American Institutional Confidence (AIC) Poll. These included political, social and business institutions. … With these questions, we collected detailed demographic and background data […] Read more »

Young Republicans warn the party to promote issues that young voters care about

Most young voters cast their ballots for Democratic candidates in last month’s midterm elections. Now, young Republicans are demanding change from their party to keep up with their generation. A Martínez & Elena Moore, NPR News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful […] Read more »