Two primary motivations typically drive legislative leaders: doing right by the country and providing political protection to their caucuses. “Moscow Mitch” McConnell (R-Ky.), the Senate majority leader, and House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) are sacrificing both on the altar of protecting Donald Trump. Their actions will likely exact a […] Read more »
Boom and bust: Economy and impeachment capture the forces that will determine Trump’s fate
The House officially delivered to the Senate two articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump last week on the same day that the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished above 29,000 points for the first time. That striking juxtaposition encapsulates the contending forces shaping the presidential race: pervasive doubts about Trump’s […] Read more »
Trump Third Year Sets New Standard for Party Polarization
Eighty-two percentage points separated Republicans’ (89%) and Democrats’ (7%) average job approval ratings of President Donald Trump during his third year in office. This is the largest degree of political polarization in any presidential year measured by Gallup, surpassing the 79-point party gap in Trump’s second year in office. CONT. […] Read more »
What Do Swing Voters Think? Meet @American_Voter
… Political science research has long established that the American public’s beliefs are a mixed bag. But those findings have failed to manifest in public discourse, which is increasingly held online. CONT. Alexander Agadjanian (MIT) & G. Elliott Morris (The Economist), New York Times I'm a 64 year old, college-educated, […] Read more »
Are the Sunbelt’s suburbs key to victory in November?
Jon Favreau conducts a focus group in Phoenix with Romney-Clinton voters. The Wilderness, Crooked Media Read more »
With Impeachment in the News, Ads Are Staying Away From Politics
… With impeachment in the news and the 2020 campaign sparking nasty hashtags on social media, it has become routine for companies to reject pitches for ads that even touch on politics. They have also asked that their ads be placed far from candidates’ campaign spots. “It’s like McCarthyism — […] Read more »