… Some astute analysts have argued that we have to be cautious about highly publicized polling showing that Democrats are a lot more concerned about the virus than Republicans. People could just be echoing their party’s point of view as a kind of partisan cheerleading — a phenomenon that is […] Read more »
How Uncertainty Around The Coronavirus Affects Our Life And Politics
The spread of the new coronavirus has upended American life overnight. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how much we don’t know about the crisis when trying to assess its impact on life and politics. They also discuss how the virus is affecting plans of […] Read more »
Can Democrats Win Back Florida?
A sense of doom spread not long ago among weary Florida Democrats, and not over a viral pandemic. They had lost winnable races for governor and Senate two years ago in nail-biter recounts. Many now feared that the state’s voters, with their reflexive disdain for political revolution, would spurn Bernie […] Read more »
The Democratic debate: Biden’s VP pledge shows that women will be key in 2020
… A funny thing has happened while the country has been focused on Donald Trump’s presidential reality show. Beginning with the march on Washington the day after the 2017 Inauguration and picking up steam with each passing day, women’s opposition to Trump has steadily grown. Trump’s approval ratings (never robust) […] Read more »
‘Older Americans are more worried about coronavirus — unless they’re Republican’ — Take II
Philip Greengard points us to the above-titled news article by Philip Bump. The article was just fine, a reminder of modern-day political polarization. The only thing that bothered me were the graphs. I redrew them. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia U.), Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science Read more »
Public attitudes about the coronavirus response are split along partisan lines
A majority of American voters say they’re worried that someone in their immediate family might catch the coronavirus, and six-in-10 believe the worst is yet to come for the outbreak inside the United States, a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds. In addition, more than 40 percent say […] Read more »