Uneven coronavirus spread leads to uneven partisan response

The spread of the coronavirus has not occurred evenly around the country. Urban areas, such as New York City, have been harder hit than rural locales and that difference in impacts follows some of the deep partisan political splits in the country. Democrats and Republicans seem to be experiencing the […] Read more »

How Fox News can turn Democrats against their eventual nominee

… One often overlooked factor that increases divisiveness in party primaries is opposing partisan media outlets. Conservative media such as Fox News and radio commentators like Rush Limbaugh can increase divisiveness among the (surprisingly many) Democrats who regularly watch or listen to their programs. CONT. Glen Smith (U. of North […] Read more »

Republicans were more concerned about Ebola than they’ve been about coronavirus

President Trump has spent much of the past two months downplaying the novel coronavirus threat. Those statements, others have noted, are dramatically different from his comments about the Ebola outbreak in 2014. Back then, Trump repeatedly played up fears of Ebola to attack President Barack Obama. His many tweets included […] Read more »

2020 Election at a Turning Point: Presidential and Senate Battleground Poll

This is a turning point in the 2020 campaign. Vice President Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the battleground by a healthy margin of 4 points, and 5 in a two-way contest. This is a battleground that Donald Trump painfully won by 1.3 points in 2016, but Senator Bernie Sanders […] Read more »

Turnout in the 2020 Democratic Primary: Some Clues for the Fall

Key Points • With very few exceptions, statewide turnout in the 2020 Democratic primary has been higher than 2016. • Suburban areas have seen some of the sharpest turnout increases — though these areas tend to have higher population growth, they’ve also trended blue in general elections, perhaps a positive […] Read more »