Battleground North Carolina: The Suburban Vote

I have been thinking a lot about North Carolina these days. While the former “Blue Wall” states get the lion’s share of coverage, North Carolina is actually the bigger bang for the buck. It is one of just two states — the other is Arizona — to have its presidential […] Read more »

Partisanship largely drives who Americans blame for the pandemic crisis

This edition of our daily tracking release features findings from a national online survey of 1,022 registered voters conducted April 3-April 8, 2020 and a national online survey of 1,018 registered voters conducted April 5-April 9, 2020. • Only a quarter of Americans say the government should continue its lawsuit […] Read more »

Bernie Sanders Only Had Eyes for One Wing of the Democratic Party

… On Wednesday, Sanders finally capitulated to political reality and withdrew from the race. In doing so, he claimed that “Few would deny that over the course of the past five years our movement has won the ideological struggle.” But is that true? The fact is that a decisive majority […] Read more »

The Two States Where Trump’s COVID-19 Response Could Backfire in 2020

A handful of swing states will almost certainly decide the winner of November’s presidential election. And in two of them, Michigan and Florida, Donald Trump’s complicated relationship with their governors could expose him to greater political risk as the economic and social price of the coronavirus pandemic mounts. Trump faces […] Read more »