… There are now, in my view, at least seven fairly distinct camps among Black political figures — concentrated in the Democratic Party but also stretching into the GOP. These groupings — which come from my own reporting and talking to experts, rather than any specific data set — are […] Read more »
Trump has lost his senior advantage. And that could cost him in November.
… Seniors have voted for the Republican candidate in every presidential election since 2004, according to exit polls. They favored Trump by 8 points in 2016, according to NBC News exit polls. But most surveys this month show Trump trailing Biden among this group, down by 2 points in a […] Read more »
The white-collar revolt against Trump is peaking
From his open defiance of public health officials when holding rallies to his increasingly explicit embrace of White racial backlash, President Donald Trump has set a course for his reelection campaign that could produce the GOP’s largest deficit in the history of modern polling among well-educated White voters. Relative to […] Read more »
Democracy Maybe: Attitudes on Authoritarianism in America
The overwhelming majority of Americans embrace democracy. Consistently over the past three years, 87 percent of Americans say that a democratic political system is a good way of governing the country. At least 80 percent of Americans rate the importance of living in a democracy as an 8 or higher […] Read more »
Trump’s Self-Inflicted Wound: Losing Swing Voters As He Plays to His Base
Since the day he was sworn into office, President Trump has pursued policies and practiced politics with a single-minded focus on bedrock Republicans, showing little interest in appealing to independent voters. That has made him one of the most powerful figures ever in his party, and rewarded him with strong […] Read more »
How Trump and the Black Lives Matter Movement Changed White Voters’ Minds
A majority of American voters support the demonstrations against police brutality and racial injustice that have roiled the country over the past month, embracing ideas about bias within the criminal justice system and the persistence of systemic racism that are central tenets of the Black Lives Matter movement, according to […] Read more »