In this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the team considers various strategies that President Trump and Republicans could use to improve their electoral prospects this fall — ranging from a new running mate to a vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
A simple forecast suggests a Democratic sweep in 2020
The covid-19-driven economic collapse, upheaval over racial politics in the United States and President Trump’s consistently low popularity ratings have given Democrats an opening to win the presidency and both houses of Congress in 2020. Our prediction, based on economic indicators and presidential approval ratings, provides a simple, albeit early, […] Read more »
Trump could sink the House GOP in suburbia
President Donald Trump’s continuing erosion among well-educated voters looms as perhaps the most imposing headwind to Republican hopes of recapturing the House of Representatives in November — or even avoiding further losses in the chamber. … In recent weeks, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and other party groups have publicly […] Read more »
President Trump is losing support among young white working-class voters
So far in his re-election campaign, President Trump has stubbornly refused to expand his base, playing instead to a brand of populist conservatism that rests on solid support from white working-class voters. But a Pew Research Center survey released at the end of June suggests that voters in this group […] Read more »
The politics of race are shifting, and politicians are struggling to keep pace
Race has been a defining issue in American politics since before the country formally came into existence, a dividing line marked by generations of struggle and conflict. Today, the issue is back at the center of a national debate, this time amid shifting attitudes and heightened expectations that are demanding […] Read more »
‘Slay The Dragon’ Filmmakers Dig Into The Evolution Of Gerrymandering
NPR’s Sacha Pfeiffer talks to filmmakers Barak Goodman and Chris Durrance about Slay the Dragon, their documentary about gerrymandering in the United States. All Things Considered See also: slaythedragonfilm.com Read more »