The covid-19-driven economic collapse, upheaval over racial politics in the United States and President Trump’s consistently low popularity ratings have given Democrats an opening to win the presidency and both houses of Congress in 2020. Our prediction, based on economic indicators and presidential approval ratings, provides a simple, albeit early, forecast predicting a Democratic win in November. CONT.
Olivia Quinn, Amanda Brush & Eric R. A. N. Smith (UC Santa Barbara), Monkey Cage
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