New offensives against major cities from President Donald Trump and GOP governors are pushing at the central geographic fault line between the Republican and Democratic coalitions. On one front, Trump is taking his confrontational approach toward big cities to an ominous new level by deploying federal law-enforcement officials to Portland […] Read more »
The South Is Still Very Republican—But Southern Democrats Aren’t “Southern Democrats” Anymore
… In general, the change so far in the southern Democratic Party’s electoral strength has received too much attention and the change in its internal complexion has received too little. Old-style southern Democrats—the kind with rural constituencies, good-ol’-boy personas, and philosophical discomfort with the northern wing of the party on […] Read more »
Big Polling Leads Tend to Erode. Is Biden’s Edge Different?
Joe Biden’s commanding advantage in the race for the White House shows no sign of abating. … After a quarter-century of closely fought elections, it is easy to assume that wide leads are unsustainable in today’s deeply polarized country. Only Barack Obama in 2008 managed to win the national vote […] Read more »
New polls show Joe Biden is winning suburbanites by a historic margin
The new ABC News/Washington Post poll is the latest to show former Vice President Joe Biden on a roll. He leads President Donald Trump 55% to 40% among registered voters. (It’s a slightly tighter 54% to 44% among likely voters). The poll comes on top of other surveys last week […] Read more »
Symptoms Vary: Understanding Americans’ Differing Views on COVID-19, Ebola, and Zika
Key Findings• Compared to the 2014–2016 Ebola virus outbreak and the 2016 Zika virus outbreak, Americans are more concerned about the coronavirus outbreak, more dissatisfied with the government’s response, and more willing to close the country’s borders — especially to foreign citizens.• Americans’ attitudes toward these three outbreaks are tied […] Read more »
House Rating Changes: 20 Races Move Towards Democrats
President Trump’s abysmal polling since the pandemic began is seriously jeopardizing down-ballot GOP fortunes. We may be approaching the point at which dozens of House Republicans will need to decide whether to cut the president loose and run on a “check and balance” message, offering voters insurance against congressional Democrats […] Read more »