See correction Tweet thread, below. … Our research, which we’re reporting here for the first time, shows an upswing in the past few months in the number of Americans—both Democrats and Republicans—who said they think violence would be justified if their side loses the upcoming presidential election. … All of […] Read more »
How Trump Voters View His Position on Pre-existing Conditions
… Joe Biden and Democratic candidates for Congress are campaigning heavily on the issue, arguing that another term of a Trump presidency would mean a rollback of insurance protections that are extremely popular. Mr. Biden pressed the issue at Tuesday night’s presidential debate, saying “there’s 100 million people that have […] Read more »
Biden Lead Looks Firmer as Midwest Moves His Way
Key Points• With the first debate now in the books, we have close to 20 rating changes across the Electoral College, Senate, and House.• Joe Biden is now over 270 electoral votes in our ratings as we move several Midwestern states in his favor.• Changes in the battle for Congress […] Read more »
How President Trump’s false claim of voter fraud is being used to disenfranchise Americans
… As the 2020 presidential election nears, it is becoming clear that the Trump administration and the Republican Party are not just looking at but heavily investing in the largely nonexistent problem of voter fraud. A New York Times Magazine investigation, based on a review of thousands of pages of […] Read more »
How conservative Catholics became supreme on GOP’s court
President Donald Trump’s nomination of Amy Coney Barrett continues the GOP’s remarkable streak of selecting Catholic jurists for the Supreme Court and underscores the enduring impact of the alliance between conservative Catholics and evangelical Protestants, which has transformed the Republican coalition. If the Senate confirms Barrett to replace the late […] Read more »
How Trump’s base appeals have backfired
… Trump’s 2020 campaign and, indeed, his entire presidency has been about rallying the Republican base. Thanks to Trump’s messaging, the percentage of voters who see him as conservative has jumped during his presidency compared to where it was during the 2016 campaign. The problem for Trump is that in […] Read more »