The GOP is rapidly becoming the blue-collar party. Here’s what that means.

The exit of Donald Trump has brought back a more normal rhythm to politics in Washington, but outside the Beltway, deeper forces are reshaping partisan landscape. Data from the NBC News poll shows that the composition of the two major parties is changing, and one massive shift is coming in […] Read more »

Democrats Beat Trump in 2020. Now They’re Asking: What Went Wrong?

Democrats emerged from the 2020 election with full control of the federal government and a pile of lingering questions. In private, party leaders and strategists have been wrestling with a quandary: Why was President Biden’s convincing victory over Donald J. Trump not accompanied by broad Democratic gains down ballot? With […] Read more »

Republicans Struggle to Derail Increasingly Popular Stimulus Package

Republicans are struggling to persuade voters to oppose President Biden’s $1.9 trillion economic rescue plan, which enjoys strong, bipartisan support nationwide even as it is moving through Congress with just Democratic backing. … More than 7 in 10 Americans now back Mr. Biden’s aid package, according to new polling from […] Read more »

The Four Concentric Circles of Voters

The current political moment reminds me of the story about the guy who had one foot in a pot of boiling water and the other foot in a bucket of ice. On average, he was quite comfortable. Indeed, in politics, we too often focus on averages—the overall numbers—which even if […] Read more »