Assessing the Impact of Absentee Voting on Turnout and Democratic Vote Margin in 2020

Key Points• While the 2020 presidential election saw a record volume of absentee votes cast, not all states made it equally accessible.• Eased absentee voting rules contributed to higher voter participation rates.• With higher turnout, President Joe Biden’s performance still tracked closely with Hillary Clinton’s state-by-state results in 2016 — […] Read more »

Putting the GOP ‘Civil War’ in Perspective

… Trump will take the stage on Sunday in Orlando at the annual CPAC conference. And, once again, the political conversation will revolve around GOP infighting and the challenge for Republican leaders like Mitch McConnell to put Trump in the rearview mirror. … However, before we declare that the GOP […] Read more »

Partisan voters claim, ‘We wuz robbed.’ No, they weren’t

… Ironically, neither Republicans nor Democrats understand that they have become little more than mirror opposites of each other, with one party still blaming Russian collusion for their loss and the other crying fraud as the only possible explanation for their defeat. That continuing problem led us, in our most […] Read more »

White working-class politics

Analysts have been debating the politics of America’s white working-class for years with little net increase in knowledge. The whole discussion assumes a fact not fully in evidence — that membership in the “white working-class” is a politically relevant identity; that it is causally related to voting behavior. Maybe, but […] Read more »

Of Course Biden Is Running for Re-Election

… The idea of the self-declared single-term president has had a romantic appeal to editorial-page writers (and few others) since well before Biden became the oldest person in history elected to the job. Like many other ideas with romantic appeal, it is disconnected from political reality. Declaring oneself a lame […] Read more »