American democracy faces many challenges: New limits on voting rights. The corrosive effect of misinformation. The rise of domestic terrorism. Foreign interference in elections. Efforts to subvert the peaceful transition of power. And making matters worse on all of these issues is a fundamental truth: The two political parties see […] Read more »
GOP faces massive realignment as it sheds college-educated voters
It’s an off-year for national electoral politics, with only a few big gubernatorial races later in the year in Virginia and New Jersey. Still, polling data show the great shift in the nation’s two major political parties is continuing and some of those changes could have significant impacts at the […] Read more »
Least Vaccinated U.S. Counties Have Something in Common: Trump Voters
About 31 percent of adults in the United States have now been fully vaccinated. Scientists have estimated that 70 to 90 percent of the total population must acquire resistance to the virus to reach herd immunity. But in hundreds of counties around the country, vaccination rates are low, with some […] Read more »
The numbers show Ron DeSantis’ stock is rising
… Right now, no Republican is doing a better job of setting himself up as Trump’s successor than Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. If Trump decides not to run in 2024, DeSantis has as good if not better chance of being the party’s nominee as anyone. Just a few months ago, […] Read more »
Redefining Swing Voters
Every election comes with its own ‘branded’ swing voter. In the 1990s and early 2000s, we had soccer moms and NASCAR dads, as well as security moms and office-park dads. Over the last four years, the typical swing voter was either defined as an upscale suburban resident (Peloton moms) or […] Read more »
Introducing the 2021 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index
The Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts. Although these district boundaries won’t be in place for 2022’s midterm elections due to upcoming redistricting, this dataset will serve as a useful baseline to […] Read more »