Next week, Democrats could lose or come close to losing a governor’s race in a state that voted for President Biden by 10 points. So what does that mean for Democrats’ chances to keep control of Congress next year? … While we should be wary of over-interpreting one election, there […] Read more »
Who Will Show Up To Vote Next Year?
One significant piece of conventional wisdom that got turned on its head in 2020 was that higher turnout — especially among voters of color in states like Texas, Floria and Nevada — would solely benefit Democrats. Instead, many of these new voters, often younger and not typically engaged in politics, […] Read more »
There’s Opportunity in Independents
… In recent years, the parties’ focus—even obsession—over the wants and needs of their bases, to the exclusion of swing voters, has now become the norm. Republicans walk on eggshells trying not to offend a base that wants to fight culture wars and, notwithstanding the evidence, believes that former President […] Read more »
Democrats Need to Count Up, Not Down
With the finish line in sight (if still stubbornly out of reach) for the Democrats’ massive social-programs and economic development bill, the party now faces the challenge of focusing the attention of its key constituencies and the public on what remains in the package, not on what was cut in […] Read more »
Texas Aligned With Red States on Abortion
Although technically a competitive or “purple” state in terms of how it voted in the past two presidential elections, Texas is more closely aligned with “red” — that is, strongly Republican — states when it comes to its residents’ views on abortion. According to aggregated Gallup data from its 2011-2021 […] Read more »
4 things to watch in the Virginia governor’s race
Next week’s bellwether gubernatorial election in Virginia between Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican newcomer Glenn Youngkin has all the makings of a nail-biter, with the two most recent polls showing the race essentially tied. This should have been a cakewalk for McAuliffe. Joe Biden won the state by 10 points […] Read more »