Why the coming confrontation on abortion will echo the battle over voting

The approaching legal and political showdown over abortion will reprise the key dynamics that shaped last week’s bitter Senate struggle over voting rights — and further inflame disputes between the parties over the filibuster and the role of “states’ rights” in limiting federal guarantees of civil rights and liberties. The […] Read more »

If history’s a guide, Biden ain’t getting any stronger

President Joe Biden’s weak political standing looks like cement around the feet of the Democratic majorities in Congress. And even though the 2022 midterm elections are still more than 10 months away, history tells us Biden’s job rating isn’t likely to improve and more likely will deteriorate before Election Day. […] Read more »

Biden’s now losing support from the base

One of the most worrisome political signs for the Biden administration from the latest round of polling is that the president isn’t just losing support among typical swing voters—suburbanites, independents, anti-Trump Republicans—but he’s now starting to take friendly fire from his own base. This vicious cycle is the political version […] Read more »

D.C. Is a Donut. There Is No Center in Washington Politics

… When it comes to elections—and the politics of the nation as a whole—there is, of course, a center. Look at polling. Look at the “progressive” ideas discussed or supported by Biden—from protecting the climate to providing child care, from better health care to fairer taxation, from gun control to […] Read more »

Midterm meter: Historic trends put Democrats in ‘shellacking territory’ ahead of the midterms

President Biden’s news conference on Wednesday was designed to kick off a second-year reset of his presidency… and our new NBC News poll suggests Mr. Biden needs one. NBC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »