By definition, a political pollster is not a “normal” or “average” person. Political pollsters, like most political creatures, are usually deeply embedded in the divisive partisan atmosphere. We take in all the information, and then we try to design questions to probe the “normal” people about this atmosphere, of which […] Read more »
More green investment hasn’t softened red resistance on climate
Even as billions of dollars in new clean energy investments surge into Republican leaning communities around the country, state and federal GOP officials are hardening their resistance to efforts to reduce the nation’s reliance on fossil fuels. That stark contrast has dashed a central hope and expectation among environmentalists: the […] Read more »
CBS News poll on how 2024 GOP presidential primary race could be Donald Trump v. Trump fatigue
To the extent the Republican primary is a contest at all right now, it looks like it’s one between Donald Trump and a sentiment one might call “Trump fatigue.” And Trump is winning that matchup easily. Here’s why: MAGA-sounding ideas are widely held in the Republican electorate, an environment that […] Read more »
After Musk’s takeover, big shifts in how Republican and Democratic Twitter users view the platform
Two years ago, a majority of Republican Twitter users in the United States said the site had a bad impact on American democracy. But today, following Elon Musk’s takeover of Twitter, their views have become much more positive, while those of their Democratic counterparts have grown more negative. … In […] Read more »
Don’t Panic About Biden’s Approval Ratings
In the wake of President Biden’s announcement that he will seek re-election, there have been many stories assessing his chances of winning. Most if not all of these stories point to Biden’s low approval ratings as a danger sign, as they are well below the ratings of presidents in previous […] Read more »
How the Other Half Votes: Manchin and Tester’s Challenge
Key Points• Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Jon Tester (D-MT) are outliers in Congress — no other Senate or House member holds a state/district that is more hostile to his or her party at the presidential level than this pair.• Montana and especially West Virginia are deeply Republican at the […] Read more »