A lot of attention has been paid to the problems President Joe Biden and other Democrats have with core party constituencies, including young and Hispanic voters. And there’s been plenty of polling to back that up. Far less attention, though, has been paid to potential declines in Democrats’ standing among […] Read more »
Voters Democrats need most are getting hit the hardest by inflation
… From moms in Pennsylvania to Black voters in Georgia, key groups of voters crucial to Democratic victories in 2020 are getting hit the hardest by record levels of inflation, deepening Democrats’ struggle to hold on to congressional control in Washington. Inflation has been cited as a top concern by […] Read more »
Gavin Newsom’s Case for a More Aggressive Democratic Party
On May 4, two days after Politico rocked Washington by revealing the draft of a Supreme Court decision to overturn the constitutional right to abortion, California Governor Gavin Newsom delivered remarks at a Los Angeles Planned Parenthood office—and triggered a small earthquake of his own. Newsom pledged that, however the […] Read more »
A Republican pollster’s advice on how to talk about the gun bill
… In the Senate Republican lunch on Tuesday, Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) cited recent polling conducted for a nonprofit run by a former Cornyn aide to make the case for the gun package he’s currently negotiating. We chatted with Neil Newhouse, one of the Republican pollsters who conducted the survey, […] Read more »
Michigan: Kelley leading GOP gubernatorial field after arrest
Republican gubernatorial candidate Ryan Kelley’s recent arrest by the FBI for his suspected involvement in the Jan. 6 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol appears to have boosted his name recognition and favorability among GOP voters in Michigan, new polling conducted in the days following his arrest indicates. Kelley was arrested […] Read more »
Will 2022 tell us about 2024?
While no one knows exactly how bad this year will be for Democrats, every serious analyst recognizes 2022 is unlikely to be good for my party. Whatever the precise outcome, too many will blithely assume that the 2022 results will yield significant insights into President Biden’s prospects in 2024. History […] Read more »