In Close, Crucial Governor’s Races, Poll Finds Sharp Split on Elections

Republicans are running dead even or slightly ahead in races for governor that could change the future of elections in Arizona and end Democrats’ hold on Nevada, according to new polling of four key battleground states from The New York Times and Siena College. … In all four states, the […] Read more »

Senate control is likely to come down to these four states

You know Election Day is closing in when the kids are trick-or-treating. And with the costumes out, the picture for the Senate is clearer than ever. It is pretty clear from the polling that control of the Senate will likely come down to four races: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania. […] Read more »

Senate Control Hinges on Neck-and-Neck Races, Times/Siena Poll Finds

Control of the Senate rests on a knife’s edge, according to new polls by The New York Times and Siena College, with Republican challengers in Nevada and Georgia neck-and-neck with Democratic incumbents, and the Democratic candidate in Pennsylvania clinging to what appears to be a tenuous advantage. The bright spot […] Read more »

The 2022 Race for the House, in Four Districts, and Four Polls

President Biden is unpopular everywhere. Economic concerns are mounting. Abortion rights are popular but social issues are more often secondary. A new series of House polls by The New York Times and Siena College across four archetypal swing districts offers fresh evidence that Republicans are poised to retake Congress this […] Read more »

The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms

Key Points• It will take some time to assess any possible fallout from the Pennsylvania Senate debate on Tuesday night. Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D-PA) very clearly struggled.• Early voting has begun in our pair of Senate Toss-ups, Georgia and Nevada, with inconclusive signals.• Democrats should be more worried about […] Read more »

Why Pennsylvania’s race could determine who wins the Senate

Tell me who wins the Pennsylvania Senate race, and I’ll probably be able to tell you who controls the Senate next year. Such a declarative statement may seem like hyperbole, but the stakes after Tuesday’s debate in Pennsylvania – which represents Democrats’ best chance of picking up a Republican seat […] Read more »