… The poll of the week: A new Franklin and Marshall poll that puts Democratic Sen. Bob Casey ahead of his Republican opponent Lou Barletta 44% to 27%. It’s the latest poll that has Casey with a double-digit lead over Barletta. … Barletta’s campaign put some interesting spin on the […] Read more »
Two counties tell the tale of a growing education gap
In a country marked by deep political divides, higher education has become another partisan marker, with polls showing that Americans who have a college degree trending towards Democrats in their politics and less likely to support President Donald Trump. The political shorthand that’s evolved around education, however, misses a larger […] Read more »
Pennsylvania drowned Democratic hopes in 2016, but 2018 looks far different
President Donald Trump became the first Republican presidential nominee to carry Pennsylvania since 1988. Doing so helped him secure victory nationally. On Tuesday, the first major statewide elections since 2016 take place in the Keystone State, and the Pennsylvania electorate looks to be in a far different mood. The state […] Read more »
Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats
Yes, it’s time for another of my “dangerous dozen open House seats” columns, which I have been writing since shortly after the establishment of the Jamestown Settlement (or so it seems). … Here is my list, in descending order of vulnerability. CONT. Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call Read more »
GOP Senate Targets Fade From View
When this election cycle began, handicappers repeatedly pointed out that 10 Democratic Senate incumbents from states carried by Donald Trump would be on the ballot in 2018. That count was accurate, and the point behind it obvious — Republicans had a long list of opportunities. But now even the most […] Read more »
Emerging Democratic Party united on liberal policies but divided on how to win
A new Democratic Party is emerging in congressional primaries across the country, united over the most liberal policies in decades but sharply divided over which candidates to run against President Trump and Republicans in the midterms. The party taking shape will challenge the GOP with a distinct populist tilt, marking […] Read more »