A new report from the centrist Democratic group Third Way, and shared first with NPR, finds that Democrats are on track to win the suburbs in five of six key states they lost in the 2016 presidential election. The analysis — which is based on voter-file data from the progressive-aligned […] Read more »
Trump plays on fears in play for the suburbs
President Donald Trump this week sent a message to “The Suburban Housewives of America,” and in a single tweet summed up his strategy for shoring up support in communities critical to his reelection chances: Scare them. “Biden will destroy your neighborhood and your American Dream. I will preserve it, and […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden tops Trump in battlegrounds Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in the battleground states of Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania, according to Fox News statewide registered voter surveys. Biden benefits from strong support among women, nonwhite voters, and those living in suburban areas, while Trump suffers from a lackluster performance among men […] Read more »
There Aren’t Secret Trump Voters
A recent Monmouth poll showed that a majority of Pennsylvanians — 57 percent — believe there are “secret voters” in their communities who support Trump but won’t tell anyone about it. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew explains why that is unlikely. They also consider the […] Read more »
New polls show Joe Biden is winning suburbanites by a historic margin
The new ABC News/Washington Post poll is the latest to show former Vice President Joe Biden on a roll. He leads President Donald Trump 55% to 40% among registered voters. (It’s a slightly tighter 54% to 44% among likely voters). The poll comes on top of other surveys last week […] Read more »
Joe Biden continues to run well ahead of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 pace
… There is no doubt that Biden is leading the race for president right now. He holds an edge nationally, as well as in the key swing states like Pennsylvania. In spite of all these numbers, people continuously point to 2016 in order to dismiss or at least put a […] Read more »