On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we’re digging down deep below the toplines and analyzing our new NBC News/Marist Polls of Florida and Pennsylvania. Which key demographics have experienced the most movement, and do those changes benefit President Donald Trump or Joe Biden in this year’s election? Then, Gallup […] Read more »
Biden leads by 9 in Pennsylvania
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by a 9-point margin among likely voters in Pennsylvania, a key swing state where Biden was born, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll. … Trump gets upside-down job approval from the Keystone State, although he still maintains an advantage on […] Read more »
The 8 states where 2020 will be won or lost
Minnesota’s Iron Range. Wisconsin’s “WOW” counties. Suburban Charlotte. The city of Philadelphia. Each is a shorthand for the building blocks of victory in the swing states that will determine the presidential election. At the traditional, post-Labor Day start of the fall campaign, POLITICO is zeroing in on eight critical battlegrounds […] Read more »
Democrats requesting absentee ballots outnumber GOP in key swing states
As early voting in the presidential election begins Friday, with North Carolina becoming the first state in the nation to send out absentee ballots, key battleground states are seeing a significant increase in requests for mail-in ballots and registered Democrats are outpacing Republicans. Although voters in North Carolina have until […] Read more »
Democrats have voter registration advantage in four states
Even before the COVID-19 outbreak and the economic slump, President Donald Trump faced a big challenge in his 2020 re-election effort: a changing American electorate. Young voters have been a challenge for Trump since he entered politics (he lost voters under 40 by double digits in 2016) and every year […] Read more »
Here are the Trump battleground states that Harris can help Biden retake
It’s too early to tell how much Joe Biden’s selection of Sen. Kamala Harris as his running mate will help boost support for the Democratic ticket among African American voters. But this much is clear: Increasing Black turnout from 2016 levels will be critical to Biden’s ability to win back […] Read more »