As the 2020 campaign nears the final turn, journalists and analysts will be watching some places, like those that seem more likely to swing or hold important demographic groups, more closely than others for clues on how the vote may be unfolding. This week the Data Download takes a deep […] Read more »
The Election May Hinge on Pennsylvania. Can the Polls Get the State Right?
If President Trump pulls off a come-from-behind victory on Nov. 3, it’s likely to run through Pennsylvania — one of the three Midwestern states he won by less than one percentage point in 2016, and arguably the one that’s still within range for him. Joseph R. Biden Jr., the Democratic […] Read more »
Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin still hold the keys to 2020
Barely a week out from Election Day, the electoral map is a sprawling landscape, larger than predicted as the campaigns took shape a year ago. But if things are close in the end, the election is still likely to be decided by the trio of northern industrial states that broke […] Read more »
CNN Polls: Biden holds double-digit lead in Pennsylvania, while Florida is tight
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a lead in Pennsylvania and neither he nor President Donald Trump leads in the critical state of Florida, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. The polls, which completed fielding two weeks before Election Day, find sizable minorities of voters saying they have […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Trump gains in Ohio, Biden ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
Donald Trump holds a narrow advantage in Ohio, while voters in the three battleground states that put him over the top in 2016 prefer Joe Biden, according to Fox News statewide surveys of likely voters. Biden leads by 12 points in Michigan (52-40 percent), 5 points in Pennsylvania (50-45 percent), […] Read more »
Pennsylvania emerges as ‘tipping-point’ battleground for Biden and Trump — before and after Election Day
Both parties are increasingly focused on the pivotal — and potentially messy — role that Pennsylvania could play in deciding the outcome of the presidential race. … Both sides now see Pennsylvania, with 20 electoral college votes, as a must-win prize on the path to the 270 needed to win […] Read more »