Ohio: Republican JD Vance has slight lead on Democrat Tim Ryan in Senate race

Republican J.D. Vance has opened a narrow edge over Democrat Tim Ryan in the Senate race in Ohio, a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds, as President Joe Biden’s unpopularity complicates the campaign by the moderate Democratic congressman to flip a GOP-held seat. Vance leads 47%-45%, a shift from Ryan’s one-point […] Read more »

Ticket-splitting voters were going extinct. Now they may decide 2022’s biggest races.

Ticket-splitters are back, and they’re playing a starring role in the chaotic 2022 campaign. In battleground states from Georgia to New Hampshire to Ohio, a potentially decisive slice of voters tell pollsters they’re supporting a Democrat for one high-profile office and a Republican for another. Nowhere is the dynamic clearer […] Read more »

4 charts that show the GOP’s 2022 popularity gap

A month ago, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said out loud what many Republicans were undoubtedly feeling. Effectively, the message was: We’ve got a shot at a good 2022 midterm election, but some of these Trump candidates could screw it all up for us. At the time, there was […] Read more »

I Work for Midwestern Democrats, and I Know How to Win Back Voters From the G.O.P.

Democrats continue to bleed support from working-class voters of all races. Many are abandoning the party for the Republicans because they think Democrats are not committed enough to fighting for their livelihood and way of life. To win these voters back, Democrats have got to do more to demonstrate that […] Read more »

Will the Democrats’ working-class strategy pay off?

There has been plenty of talk over the past few years about the Democrats’ problems appealing to white, blue-collar voters. … November’s midterm elections will present something of a test for Democratic strategists. What kind of coalition — and candidates — will get the party back on a winning track? […] Read more »