Midterm history 101: Trump’s win a boost to chances for Senate Democratic incumbents

In 2012, Sen. Sherrod Brown faced more than $24 million in ads from conservative groups opposing his first reelection. Six years later, the Democrat has been forgotten as outside groups have almost entirely abandoned the Ohio airwaves, vastly improving his chances to win a third term in November. Brown’s comfortable position […] Read more »

The Midwest eases its Trump swoon and flirts again with Democratic candidates

… Republicans made historic inroads into the Midwest in 2016 when union households and white voters who lacked college degrees abandoned the Democratic Party. Four states that had backed Barack Obama for president — Iowa, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin — flipped to Trump, and a fifth, Minnesota, nearly turned red […] Read more »

Election 2018: Arizona, Florida & Ohio

The Marist Poll and NBC News are at it, again – polling hotly contested midterm election contests. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the team breaks down the meaning behind the numbers. Which demographic groups are emerging as influential? Are notable proportions of voters persuadable? How do opinions of President […] Read more »

Red waves, scrambled Democrats, ideal Republicans: Three myths about this week’s primaries

Republicans spent Wednesday in a perpetual state of high-fiving after coal baron and convicted criminal Don Blankenship lost his bid for the party’s U.S. Senate nomination in West Virginia. The party, according to President Trump, had nominated candidates “who have a great chance of winning in November.” Turnout, according to […] Read more »