… We won’t know until the ballots are counted whether turnout or persuasion was critical in 2020. But with political scientists Seth Hill and Gregory Huber, I’ve released new research that tries to understand the relative influence of each of these approaches in the presidential elections of 2012 and 2016. […] Read more »
Before I Vote For You, I First Want To Like You
At the difficult art of winning highly competitive elections, former U.S. Sen. William Cohen, R-Maine — who never lost one — was very good indeed. … An engaging man with an earned reputation for working across Washington’s partisan divide, Cohen offered this astute advice for electoral success: “I don’t care […] Read more »
Great Lakes states voted against Hillary Clinton; not for Trump
A lot of things had to fall right for Donald Trump to win the presidency in 2016, but the biggest key was his ability to win key northern states that had voted Democratic for several cycles. In particular, Trump flipped Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which had voted Democratic in every […] Read more »
Black Turnout in the 2020 Election
Most of the uncertainty surrounding the potential impact of the Black vote on the presidential election this year is focused on turnout. Although President Donald Trump’s campaign has made efforts to reach out to Black voters, the historical record and current data show it is unlikely that the percentage of […] Read more »
The Obamas are the world’s most admired man and woman
Barack Obama has deposed Bill Gates from his position as world’s most admired man for the first time since YouGov first started asking in 2014. Michelle Obama holds on to her position as world’s most admired woman, having ended Angelina Jolie’s run of dominance last year. CONT. Matthew Smith, YouGov Read more »
Americans Want Winner of November Election to Pick Ginsburg’s Replacement
This release features findings from a national online survey of 1,000 registered voters conducted September 19-21, 2020. • A majority say the election winner should nominate Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s replacement.• Mitch McConnell is unpopular and a majority oppose him bringing a nominee for a vote in the Senate before Election […] Read more »