… The fact that more than half of the voters who are currently undecided began the campaign season thinking of themselves as Democrats or Republicans naturally raises the question of why they have — at least so far — resisted supporting their party’s candidate. [cont.] Larry M. Bartels, Vanderbilt, and Lynn […] Read more »
Shifting Focus
… Romney has a chance to hit the reset button with his vice presidential pick. It’s not that his choice itself is likely to make that much difference, unless it’s a bad one, but it is likely to begin a new and different narrative, shifting the focus away from his […] Read more »
Obama and Democrats have clear advantage in 2012 election
The shift in Democratic fortunes since 2010 has been produced by a growing and deepening contempt for everything Republican. The Democrats’ standing with the public is relatively stable, but the pattern has left a pretty astonishing gap between the parties that is shaping the race, despite the economic slow down. […] Read more »
Nominating Marco Rubio Likely Not a Game Changer for Romney
… New survey data collected by Latino Decisions gives us a glimpse into whether nominating Marco Rubio might have a positive influence on the Latino electorate. … The vocal Cuban American minority in Florida aside, most Latinos in and outside of Florida are not enthused about a Rubio candidacy, both […] Read more »
As presidential campaign heads into final 100 days, undecided voters still struggle
… Interviews with dozens of voters in Florida, Missouri, Ohio and Virginia illustrate just how complicated each voter’s decision can be and, sometimes, how very far removed it is from the election strategies being mapped out in campaign conference rooms in Chicago or Boston or Washington. The conversations with voters […] Read more »
Obama outranks Romney on likability
… Obama’s job approval ratings long ago plummeted from his halcyon postelection days. But the president’s favorability — the catchall measure that pollsters say reflects voters’ gut feelings about a politician — has been resilient. [cont.] Kathleen Hennessey, Los Angeles Times Read more »