Married registered voters prefer Republican challenger Mitt Romney over Democratic President Barack Obama by 54% to 39%, according to Gallup data collected from June to August. On the other hand, nonmarried voters break strongly for the president over Romney, 56% to 35%. Marriage is a significant predictor of presidential vote […] Read more »
Top Democrat: 2012 Election Will Be Won By The Base
Maryland governor Martin O’Malley told BuzzFeed that Democrats will win in 2012 by energizing their base, not by trying to persuade elusive swing voters. … “Sometimes in campaigns you can drive yourself crazy with the micro-targeting and the pollsters and the tea leaves and the pixie dust trying to twist […] Read more »
Obama’s a Good Bet
By this time next week, there should be enough national and state-level polling data to present a pretty clear picture of where this election stands, post-Labor Day and after whatever bounces the candidates may have gotten from the conventions. But we have seen enough data in recent weeks to draw […] Read more »
Obama holds the edge in Florida, Ohio and Virginia
After two political conventions and heading into the post-Labor Day sprint, President Barack Obama leads Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the key battlegrounds of Florida, Ohio and Virginia, according to new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of each of these three states. … These states – all of which Obama […] Read more »
Are you better off than four years ago?
… A new national survey indicates that a plurality of registered voters say they’re not better off. But a majority continue to blame former President George W. Bush and Republicans for the country’s economic problems. [cont.] CNN Read more »
The challenge of polling voter enthusiasm
Two paradoxical findings from a new Washington Post-ABC News poll offer unique insight into how Obama’s chances at re-election hinge closely on his ability to inspire supporters to get out and vote. [cont.] Scott Clement, Washington Post Read more »