Why did Trump win — and Clinton lose — the 2016 U.S. presidential election? That’s been debated widely, to understate the case. Nominees include each campaign’s ground game, messaging, FBI Director James B. Comey’s last-minute letter to Congress, and defections from the “Obama coalition.” Here, we offer new data to […] Read more »
What Democrats’ Losses in 2010 Can Tell Us About G.O.P.’s Chances in 2018
There’s no way to know how the health care debate in Congress will play out, but there’s a lot of reason to think that the House vote to replace the Affordable Care Act has put Republicans on a risky path heading into next year’s midterm elections. CONT. Nate Cohn, New […] Read more »
Taking Trump’s Temperature Amongst His Supporters (and Opponents), Part 2
Last week, we released the results of a national poll of voters who said they supported President Donald Trump in the 2016 election, as well as focus groups of mostly Trump voters (but also some voters who either supported Hillary Clinton or voted third party last year). We found that […] Read more »
Majority Says Trump Not Making Progress in Changing D.C.
By 54% to 40%, Americans are more inclined to disagree than agree that President Donald Trump has made progress on his goal of changing the way Washington works. Americans were more positive in 2009 about Barack Obama’s efforts to fulfill a similar promise that he made while campaigning for president. […] Read more »
Why did Trump win? New research by Democrats offers a worrisome answer.
As the Democratic Party rebuilds itself for the 2018 and 2020 elections, Democratic strategists have been preoccupied with a pressing question: Why did so many voters who backed Barack Obama in 2012 switch to Donald Trump four years later, and what can be done to win them back? Top Democratic […] Read more »
Partisans embrace damning accusations about Trump helping Russians, Obama spying on Trump
Sizable minorities of Americans think that President Trump’s campaign colluded with the Russians to help him win the 2016 election and that President Barack Obama spied on the Trump campaign, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Views of both claims being investigated by Congress are colored dramatically by […] Read more »