Pesident Obama was soundly defeated in the first presidential debate in Denver, contributing toward about a four-point swing toward Mitt Romney in head-to-head polls — enough to turn the race from one in which Mr. Obama had a clear lead into a very close contest. There are two theories about […] Read more »
Can a strong ground game help Obama stop Romney’s momentum?
More swing-state voters say President Obama’s campaign has contacted them in the past month than have heard from Mitt Romney’s campaign, and a new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds Obama leading by a whopping 40 percentage-point margin among voters contacted by an Obama representative. Romney leads by just 16 points […] Read more »
Voters Equally Favorable to Romney, Obama
Barack Obama and Mitt Romney will enter Tuesday’s debate with similar favorable ratings from U.S. registered voters. In fact, among the electorate, the two presidential candidates’ favorable ratings have been almost identical since May, after Romney clinched the Republican nomination. … Previously, Gallup had reported candidate favorable ratings on the […] Read more »
Why the Latino vote may tilt Virginia blue in 2012
… Michael McDonald, a national expert on voter participation, and Professor of Government and Politics at GMU, teamed with Latino Decisions and America’s Voice to release fresh polling of Latino voters in Virginia. … The poll found 66% of Virginia Latinos plan to vote for Obama compared to 22% for […] Read more »
The Romney Rural Surge
Rural voters polled last week said they preferred Romney to President Barack Obama by a 22-point margin, 59 percent to 37 percent. … The poll questioned 600 likely voters living in rural counties in nine swing states — Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. […] Read more »
Wisconsin, the land of persuadable voters
… This is shaping up to be another close presidential election that will be decided in part by the mysterious calculations of swing voters in places such as Wisconsin. These voters are what strategists refer to as the “persuadables.” About 10 to 15 percent of Badger State voters have no […] Read more »