Debate watchers were divided on who won the second presidential debate between President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, according to a new nationwide poll released late Tuesday night. The CNN/ORC International survey indicates 46% of debate watches say Obama won the debate, while 39% say Romney fared […] Read more »
CBS News Instant Poll: Obama edges Romney in second debate
President Obama edged Mitt Romney for a win in the second presidential debate Tuesday night, 37 percent of uncommitted voters said in a CBS News instant poll. Moments following the debate at Hofstra University in Hempstead, N.Y., 37 percent of voters polled said the president won, 30 percent awarded the […] Read more »
Falling Prey to the Dangerous Temptation to Cherry-Pick Polls
Even a fairly calm spell in the polling, like the last couple of days, can give people opportunities to see what they want in the data. The most egregious form of this is cherry-picking the three or four polling results that you like best for your candidate. A vast majority […] Read more »
YouGov October Recontact Polls: A Round-Up
Between October 4th and October 11th, YouGov recontacted likely voters in twenty five states to find out how their vote intentions had changed since mid-September, when they were first polled. … Results of the October recontacts show that the presidential race has moved slightly in Republican nominee Mitt Romney’s favor […] Read more »
Gallup: Romney 50%, Obama 46% Among Likely Voters
Half of likely voters now prefer Mitt Romney for president and 46% back President Barack Obama in Gallup interviewing through Monday. While Romney’s four-percentage-point advantage is not statistically significant, he has consistently edged ahead of Obama each of the past several days in Gallup’s seven-day rolling averages conducted entirely after […] Read more »
WPA’s Election Update: 3 Weeks Left
… Of the six polls completed last week, two show a one point Romney lead, two show a two point Romney lead, and two show a one point Obama lead. Averaging across those polls shows a very close race with Romney leading by around two-thirds of a point. … That’s […] Read more »