The final presidential debate is in the books. President Barack Obama emerged a clear winner in my and most people’s opinion. Dominating in tone, Obama forced Mitt Romney on the defensive many times throughout the night. Romney, for his part, seemed satisfied to agree with the president rather than challenge […] Read more »
What the Final Debate Means
We asked political veterans for their reactions to the final Obama-Romney debate. The contributors are Mark S. Mellman, Democratic pollster and Mellman Group president; Frank J. Donatelli, former Reagan political director and current GOPAC chairman; Peter Fenn, a democratic political strategist and owner of Fenn Communications Group; David Winston, GOP […] Read more »
WPA’s Election Update: 2 Weeks Out
Sometimes even when you lose, you win. After a debate that has been described by most in the media as a “narrow loss,” Mitt Romney gained ground in all of the major national polls. But, some of the state-by-state polls suggest that Romney still trails in the Electoral College. So […] Read more »
Obama stays ahead – just
There are two versions of what has happened in the past three weeks in the battle to be US President. One is the version told by most nationwide polls and accepted by the media; the second, told by a minority of nationwide polls, including YouGov, and most polls in the […] Read more »
Will Third Debate Change the Electoral Math?
.. President Obama seemed to win the debate on points, but Mitt Romney seemed to take the course pass/fail and clearly passed. Yet it seems unlikely that this third debate will have nearly the impact that the first debate had in boosting Romney and hurting Obama, or that the second […] Read more »
Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote – 2012 edition
In 1998 Harry Pachon and Rudy de la Garza wrote a report for the Tomas Rivera Policy Institute titled “Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote – Again!” in which they argued that polls across California failed to accurately account for Latino voters in their samples, and that pre-election polls statewide […] Read more »