… This election season, polls have consistently shown few undecided likely voters. So, who are these people? How much do they matter? If they do vote, in whose direction will they break? In order to look at these questions, the data from the NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist battleground state polls […] Read more »
The Simpsons: Mr. Burns Endorses Romney
An election eve appeal from Montgomery Burns. Read more »
Parties Wonder Which Side’s Polls Reflect Reality
… The two parties, the outside groups that are playing such a big role this year, and even some candidates themselves are so dubious about their own numbers that they are employing two pollsters for one race, using one to double-check the other. What flummoxes them even more is that […] Read more »
Whatever the Outcome, Election Will Leave Half the Nation Alienated
… Obama and Romney are assembling coalitions that are inimical in their demography and priorities yet almost equal in size. Uniting Americans behind any common purpose after an election that appears certain to divide them that deeply and closely looms as a daunting, perhaps insurmountable, challenge for whichever man wins […] Read more »
WaPo-ABC tracking poll: Presidential contest as close as close can be
The race for the White House remains steadily and extraordinarily competitive in its final days, with President Obama and Mitt Romney continuing to run neck-and-neck in the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. There are few ways to adequately grasp the tightness of the contest. Nationally, in 10 out of 11 […] Read more »
Examining the Effect of the Storm on Polling
In the final days of this intensely close election season, polling has taken on an added layer of uncertainty with millions of people stranded without electricity and without phones in several states. It may seem even silly or ridiculous to those experiencing the worst storm damage in their lives to […] Read more »