Key Points• We’re continuing our series of looking at how the most vote-rich counties in a state vote versus those that make up the rest of the state by moving to the Southwest.• The region contains the key swing states of Arizona and Nevada, both of which are dominated by […] Read more »
A lot of the best political messages are really boring
One of the 2022 results that surprised me was Catherine Cortez Masto’s successful re-election in Nevada. … So how did she pull it off? I think Dobbs was clearly an important factor, as it was in many states. But a new report suggests that Cortez Masto and her campaign can […] Read more »
In Close, Crucial Governor’s Races, Poll Finds Sharp Split on Elections
Republicans are running dead even or slightly ahead in races for governor that could change the future of elections in Arizona and end Democrats’ hold on Nevada, according to new polling of four key battleground states from The New York Times and Siena College. … In all four states, the […] Read more »
Senate control is likely to come down to these four states
You know Election Day is closing in when the kids are trick-or-treating. And with the costumes out, the picture for the Senate is clearer than ever. It is pretty clear from the polling that control of the Senate will likely come down to four races: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania. […] Read more »
Senate Control Hinges on Neck-and-Neck Races, Times/Siena Poll Finds
Control of the Senate rests on a knife’s edge, according to new polls by The New York Times and Siena College, with Republican challengers in Nevada and Georgia neck-and-neck with Democratic incumbents, and the Democratic candidate in Pennsylvania clinging to what appears to be a tenuous advantage. The bright spot […] Read more »
The 2022 Race for the House, in Four Districts, and Four Polls
President Biden is unpopular everywhere. Economic concerns are mounting. Abortion rights are popular but social issues are more often secondary. A new series of House polls by The New York Times and Siena College across four archetypal swing districts offers fresh evidence that Republicans are poised to retake Congress this […] Read more »