Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders has rocketed past longtime front-runner Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, a stunning turn in a race once considered a lock for the former secretary of state, a new Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll shows. CONT. Joe Battenfeld, Boston Herald Read more »
The Next Phase of the G.O.P. Race Starts Now
Most of the important action in the Republican presidential race has been out of sight, as candidates have courted donors and party leaders before formally jumping into the race. The first debate on Thursday starts a new phase, as the campaign begins to play out much more in front of […] Read more »
What I Learned From Donald Trump’s Supporters
Having surged to the top of the polls nationally and in the key early-voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire, Donald Trump is now the clear front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination. Set against the backdrop of a conventional wisdom that held such a thing impossible, how did it happen? […] Read more »
Congratulations to Chris Christie on the first big skewed-polls moment of 2016
Gov. Chris Christie (R) emerged from his typical stoic, demure shell on Tuesday to bash a new poll from New Jersey-based Monmouth University and the pollster that conducted it. … “You guys should know by now that the Monmouth University poll was created just to aggravate me,” Christie said, suggesting […] Read more »
Why Donald Trump May Be Weaker Than a Recent Poll Suggests
No matter the subject, for surveys to make sense, they have to be sampling the correct population. … So, with Sunday’s NBC News/Marist University polls in Iowa and New Hampshire igniting a flood of news coverage highlighting Donald Trump’s “surge” (Politico) and “strong” showing (NBC and the New York Times), […] Read more »
Why is Hillary Clinton viewed so unfavorably in early primary states?
Recent surveys suggest that Hillary Clinton may be more reliant on the non-white vote in November 2016 than you might have assumed. A poll released Sunday from NBC/Marist reinforces one from last week by Quinnipiac University that found her to be as unpopular as Donald Trump in key swing states. […] Read more »