The last two Republican presidential primary contests have followed the same script: A conservative candidate wins in Iowa, a relative moderate wins in New Hampshire, and the latter — with broader appeal and all of the establishment’s resources — outlasts the former in a protracted fight for the nomination. But […] Read more »
Yes, the media is to blame for the GOP primary mess
The presidential nominating process has become a reality television show: Political Survivor. It’s no longer controlled by political parties or primary voters. It’s controlled by the media. The essential features of the process are debates and polls. And money? Not really. Look at former Florida Governor Jeb Bush. He raised […] Read more »
Frank Luntz Focus Group Reacts to Fox Business GOP Debate
During a live post-debate “Kelly File,” Frank Luntz talked to a focus group of New Hampshire Republican voters about their reaction to the Fox Business Network-Wall Street Journal GOP debate. CONT. Fox News Read more »
New Hampshire Political Junkies Go Public
Every four years, as interest in New Hampshire’s presidential primary increases, two political scientists at the University of New Hampshire find their services in high demand. Now they are offering their insights to the general public through a new online course. Here & Now Read more »
Clinton’s primary advantage
Political contests can be illuminated in a variety of ways. We can analyze them through the prism of candidate images, issue dynamics or voters’ values, among many others. Perhaps the most important way to understand the current Democratic presidential primary contest is the simplest: through demographics. CONT. Mark Mellman (Mellman […] Read more »
CBS/YouGov: Clinton on top in Iowa, gains in New Hampshire
Bolstered by Iowa Democratic caucus-goers who say she won the recent debate, Hillary Clinton now has an edge over Bernie Sanders in Iowa. She’s up three points there, after re-allocating the supporters of Vice President Joe Biden. Those caucus-goers were then asked who’d they support if Biden decided not to […] Read more »