The Clinton Campaign Has a Millennial Math Problem

… While the last time New Hampshire went red was in 2000, it still represents one of the Clinton campaign’s most perplexing challenges. The reason is that, while Sanders may now stand behind the Democratic presidential nominee, not all his supporters have followed, which may explain why Clinton has invited […] Read more »

Clinton, Trump Deadlocked in Battleground States

Just over eight weeks from Election Day, Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are essentially deadlocked in four presidential battleground states — ranging from red Arizona and Georgia to blue-ish Nevada and New Hampshire, according to four new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »

Ticket-Splitters Could Be Key for Vulnerable GOP Senate Incumbents

Of all the campaign issues that incumbent Republican senators face in 2016, the most vexing may be Donald Trump. As their party’s presidential nominee sinks in the polls, Republican senators in battleground states must decide if they should align with him or hitch their fortunes to that rarest group of […] Read more »

9-State Battleground Poll: Trump’s Rustbelt play faltering

Donald Trump’s unpopularity, beliefs, values and leadership qualities are forging a new 2016 battleground for the election of the President and U.S. Senate. Trump and Clinton no longer face symmetric image problems. With 60 percent viewing Trump unfavorably and half of presidential year voters saying they will never vote for […] Read more »

Who Will Win the Nominations? Lessons From Iowa and New Hampshire

… Despite their small populations, tiny numbers of national convention delegates and racially homogeneous electorates, the national parties continue to allow Iowa and New Hampshire to exert an outsized influence on the selection of the presidential nominees by kicking off the primary and caucus season. Because they go first and […] Read more »