New Hampshire: Trump leads GOP field with a strong plurality; weak support for Biden on Dem primary ballot

A new poll conducted by the Saint Anselm College Survey Center (SACSC) at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics (NHIOP) finds President Joe Biden facing weak support for re-election. Although his job approval has improved somewhat since the mid-term elections, he is still underwater at 45%-54%. This translates into a […] Read more »

New Hampshire: Senate & CD1 Too Close to Call

New Hampshire Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan and her Republican opponent, Don Bolduc, are neck-and-neck only days away from Tuesday’s election. In New Hampshire’s First Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican Karoline Leavitt are also deadlocked. Incumbent Democrat Ann Kuster holds a small lead over Republican Robert Burns in […] Read more »

The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms

Key Points• It will take some time to assess any possible fallout from the Pennsylvania Senate debate on Tuesday night. Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D-PA) very clearly struggled.• Early voting has begun in our pair of Senate Toss-ups, Georgia and Nevada, with inconclusive signals.• Democrats should be more worried about […] Read more »

Ticket-splitting voters were going extinct. Now they may decide 2022’s biggest races.

Ticket-splitters are back, and they’re playing a starring role in the chaotic 2022 campaign. In battleground states from Georgia to New Hampshire to Ohio, a potentially decisive slice of voters tell pollsters they’re supporting a Democrat for one high-profile office and a Republican for another. Nowhere is the dynamic clearer […] Read more »

4 charts that show the GOP’s 2022 popularity gap

A month ago, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said out loud what many Republicans were undoubtedly feeling. Effectively, the message was: We’ve got a shot at a good 2022 midterm election, but some of these Trump candidates could screw it all up for us. At the time, there was […] Read more »