Last September, I wrote in this space that small developments had given Democrats “some reason for optimism about next year’s fight for the Senate.” But I also noted the party would “need an upset or two to win control of the chamber next November.” More than seven months later, circumstances […] Read more »
How the Virus Crisis Could Help a Red-State Democrat Stay in Office
… In contrast to President Trump, whose approval bump during the health emergency has been modest by historic standards and is rapidly fading, governors are experiencing strong support for providing sober updates of new cases and hands-on guidance like how to apply for unemployment checks. Once dull gray figures to […] Read more »
Battleground North Carolina: The Suburban Vote
I have been thinking a lot about North Carolina these days. While the former “Blue Wall” states get the lion’s share of coverage, North Carolina is actually the bigger bang for the buck. It is one of just two states — the other is Arizona — to have its presidential […] Read more »
States of Play: Battleground Voters Growing Concerns on COVID-19
Change Research conducted a poll of 2,448 likely general election voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin between April 2-3, 2020 on their thoughts, beliefs, experiences, and policy preferences with respect to the coronavirus crisis. Respondents were most likely to report experiencing low inventory at stores and […] Read more »
Young People of Color Shaped Key Super Tuesday Primaries
The 2020 Democratic presidential primaries have once again shown that young people influence elections. More than half of states have now voted in the 2020 Democratic primaries, and the field has narrowed to two candidates: former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders. Biden holds a substantial delegate lead […] Read more »
Mitch McConnell’s Senate majority is in danger
Joe Biden’s remarkable change of fortune in the presidential race is coinciding with Senate Democrats’ growing optimism that they can win control of the upper chamber in this year’s elections. Those hopes had dimmed when Bernie Sanders emerged as a leading contender to become the party’s presidential nominee. With the […] Read more »