A little more than a year ago, the Meet the Press team identified five counties to watch as part of an effort called County to County. The goal was to use those counties to explore larger trends in the electorate to get a feel for how different kinds of voters […] Read more »
Trump’s fraud accusations make no sense. The suburbs, not the cities, are why he lost
President Donald Trump continues to carry on with his unfounded charade claiming the election was wide-scale fraud. At the heart of many of his campaign’s complaints is that the big cities in the Great Lakes (Rust Belt) battleground states, such as Detroit and Philadelphia, helped to “engineer” a certain outcome. […] Read more »
How Biden won: Three key voter groups in 2020
Any election victory can be seen from a variety of angles — marginal gains here, voter flips there — but the story of Joe Biden’s 2020 win, and his narrow recapturing of the northern Democratic “blue wall” states, might be best explained by vote boosts with three groups: younger voters, […] Read more »
Biden narrowly leads Trump in six swing states before Election Day
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds narrow leads over President Donald Trump in six states the president aims to defend Tuesday in his bid for a second term, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll. The survey released Monday finds the former vice president holding at least a slim edge […] Read more »
CNN Polls: Biden leads in Michigan and Wisconsin as campaign ends, with tighter races in Arizona and North Carolina
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds an advantage in the upper Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan, according to CNN Polls conducted by SSRS, but the race between Biden and President Donald Trump is tighter in the battlegrounds of Arizona and North Carolina. … White voters with college degrees in […] Read more »
COVID surge hurts Trump in Wisconsin; Biden leads in a closer Michigan contest
A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in […] Read more »