You may have heard there are some important elections coming up in the United States — ones that might have an impact on how some minor governance issues we’ve been having could play out. The return of big elections means the return of large-scale election polling, and if you were […] Read more »
Why Did We Do the Poll the Way We Did?
How did we decide whom to call, and where did we get their numbers? Our poll started with the voter file, a data set of nearly every registered voter in the country. We call voters off this list, which makes our poll a “registration-based sample.” Not every pollster does this. […] Read more »
The digital campaign: In 2018, the rules have changed
Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum didn’t seem to have a prayer of winning last week’s Democratic gubernatorial primary in Florida. Gillum’s opponents spent nearly 15 times as much as he did, and late polls had him trailing badly. But Gillum spent much of his campaign war chest on the hottest outreach […] Read more »
Behind the numbers: what can a pollster teach us about politics?
In the wake of the 2016 election, Donald Trump called polls unfavorable to him everything from “fake” to “phony”. The polls, of course, are neither, but that’s beside the point. Americans have become so collectively distrustful of polls, especially after they seemed to suggest Hillary Clinton would win the election, […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Answering the Critics’ Questions
Following the release of The Marist Poll’s latest midterm battleground state polls with NBC News covering Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota, social media comments questioned the Poll’s methodology and accuracy. In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we address some of our critics’ comments and answer their questions. The topics on […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Trump Putin Fallout
Following the Trump/Putin Summit and the President’s European allies trip, there has been bipartisan outrage over Trump’s friendliness towards Russia. Some have called the President’s performance traitorous, disgusting, worrisome – but there’s no evidence that Congress, led by Republicans, will actually do anything. And that’s probably smart politics on their […] Read more »