A robust public polling industry is a marker of a free society. It’s a testament to the ability of organizations outside the government to gather and publish information about the well-being of the public and citizens’ views on major issues. In nations without robust polling, the head of government can […] Read more »
On the Trail, Again
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the general election cycle is in full swing. And, we’re taking on two of the most watched states in the presidential contest – Arizona and North Carolina. Our expert team breaks down the latest NBC News/Marist Polls of these two states. Is Biden […] Read more »
Are the Polls Missing Republican Voters?
With polls showing Joe Biden holding a commanding lead, one question keeps popping up: Are these polls missing Trump voters? Self-identified Democrats outnumber Republicans in most surveys, sometimes by a wide margin. This might simply mean there are more Democrats than Republicans. But to critics, the partisan makeup of most […] Read more »
Fighting the Last Polling War
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the team shares the findings of a new NBC News/Marist Poll study which debunks the commonly held claim that weighting 2016 battleground state polls by education would have improved their accuracy. The Poll Hub team explains how an analysis of the 2019 gubernatorial […] Read more »
Here’s how NBC News is working to improve its state polling in 2020
In 2016, the polls were more right than wrong. The final national surveys had Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump ahead by an average of 3 points; Clinton ended up winning the popular vote by 2 points. But some state polling missed the mark badly, especially in Midwest and Rust […] Read more »
No, the polls aren’t undersampling Republicans
Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has a clear advantage in the national polls. Perhaps not wanting to acknowledge Biden’s edge, some Republicans, including in President Donald Trump’s own circle, claim that the polls are oversampling Democrats and undersampling Republicans. Often, they point to the 2016 exit polls. An in-depth […] Read more »