The likely voter sham

New York Times data journalist extraordinaire, Nate Cohn, used Twitter last week to announce the Times was “switching to likely voters.” That is, their polls would now reflect the opinions of voters likely to turnout in November. The Times is hardly alone, so it’s a propitious moment to trot out […] Read more »

Which Candidate Do Voters Trust to Handle the Unrest?

The trips this week to Kenosha, Wis., by President Trump and Joseph R. Biden Jr. laid bare the political bets both presidential candidates are making about how voters will respond to the scenes of unrest playing out in some American cities. … For pollsters, who use straightforward questions to take […] Read more »

Poll-pourri: An analysis of the slew of post-convention polls

On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the week welcomed a flood of post-convention polls. We dissect the findings and the various methodologies used. Plus, now that we have the numbers, we share our final word on the issue of a post-convention bounce. Then, we’re moving onto the presidential debates. […] Read more »