… The country’s growing Hispanic population was widely credited with tipping Mr. Obama’s re-election in 2012. Just about every post-2012 analysis found that the Republicans needed to do better among Hispanic voters in 2016. Whether politicians agree with that assessment might shape their reaction to Mr. Obama’s decision, and might […] Read more »
Did the GOP make inroads with the Latino vote?
The conservative National Review declared, “Republicans made historic gains across the country on [election day], including significant progress with minority voters.” The Houston Chronicle and Fox News Latino similarly pronounced Latino voters having a large voting preference for Republicans in Texas, Kansas, and Georgia. But these claims are based on […] Read more »
The Solid South Will Rise Again
Democrats have abandoned Senator Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, who is in a tough runoff election. … Maybe Democrats are simply giving up on Landrieu. Or maybe it’s something bigger: They’re giving up on the South, at least in the short term. This region has become so solidly Republican, particularly since […] Read more »
Republicans and the Minority Vote
While Obama has shown an ability to energize and boost turnout with minority voters, this trend of a more diverse electorate started before him and will likely continue after he leaves office. It is simple demographics and actuarial science. This means Republicans should plan for a 2016 electorate that is […] Read more »
The coming clash over immigration is reflective of past conflicts
The scars from six years of political conflict between President Obama and Republican congressional leaders have quickly washed away all those gauzy comments about cooperation that were offered in the aftermath of the midterm elections. Today, Washington is bracing for a major collision over immigration, with each side calculating the […] Read more »
The immigration debate is about to come to a head. And neither side is assured of victory.
President Obama and Republicans are slated for a major showdown over Obama’s plans to potentially grant legal status to nearly 6 million undocumented immigrants. And despite Obama’s low approval ratings (especially on immigration) and Democrats’ “(butt-)whuppin’” in the midterm elections, he has something on his side: Public support for allowing […] Read more »