… While national data are helpful for understanding the broad contours of how immigration politics and policy are likely to matter next November, the uneven distribution of Latino voters across the states means that these effects can be either more-or-less pronounced depending upon the size of the Latino electorate and […] Read more »
America’s Voice/Latino Decisions 2016 Tracking Poll
Earlier today, America’s Voice and Latino Decisions released the first of three waves of national polling of the Latino electorate … The survey was designed to measure how immigration policy and politics are shaping the views of Latino voters as the 2016 election approaches. … Consistent with the broader perceptions […] Read more »
Donald Trump leads in California primary race but threatens a GOP fracture
Riding a rebellion fueled by opposition to illegal immigration and pessimism about the nation’s future, Donald Trump leads a scrambling duo of competitors less than three months before California’s Republican presidential primary, a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times statewide poll has found. CONT. Cathleen Decker, Los Angeles Times Read more »
Why Sanders Trails Clinton Among Minority Voters
Asked during a January debate why he trailed Hillary Clinton so badly among minority voters, Senator Bernie Sanders said he would gain ground once those voters became familiar with his track record and agenda on the economy and criminal justice. Two months later and on the eve of another important […] Read more »
How Trump vs. Clinton would reshape the electoral map
A prospective general election between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton could significantly alter what states are in play this fall and heighten more than in any recent election the racial, class and gender divisions within the national electorate. After successive campaigns in which President Obama expanded the Democrats’ electoral map […] Read more »
Trump Has a Major Image Problem With Hispanics
Presidential candidate Donald Trump has a major image problem among U.S. Hispanics, with 77% saying they view him unfavorably and just 12% viewing him favorably. This gives Trump by far the most negative image among Hispanics of any of the four Republican candidates. CONT. Frank Newport, Gallup Read more »